Nordea: Housing loan repayment capacity still good in Finland
Housing loan repayment capacity among Finnish households remained good in the
second half of 2010. However, the slight rise in home prices and interest rates
has turned the index to a moderate rise: Nordea's index value at the end of the
review period was 32.7 compared to 32.0 at the end of 2009. Housing loan
servicing costs are exceptionally small thanks to the continued record-low
interest rates.
During the review period, the average interest rate rose, however, from 1.9 per
cent in the second quarter of 2010 to 2.2 per cent. The highest increases in the
index were seen in Vaasa, Helsinki and Kokkola, whereas Kajaani, Kuopio, Oulu
and Turku witnessed slight decreases.
Housing loan repayment capacity was the poorest in Helsinki (47.2) and the best
in Kajaani (21.1). The average monthly loan payment in Helsinki grew to 833
euros, which means almost 35 euros more per month. In Kajaani the corresponding
payment decreased 8 euros compared to the end of June and is now 308 euros.
Home prices in the whole country increased slightly. The average home price in
Finland was 163,891 euros at the end of the year. In Helsinki it amounted to
274,867 euros, whereas the cheapest homes were available in Kajaani, where they
cost 101,760 euros.
- Although both home prices and interest rates have slightly risen, especially
the record-low interest rate level keeps the monthly servicing costs quite small
for the time being. Homebuyers should not, however, let the low costs guide
their decision-making too much. When planning to buy a home and calculating the
loan servicing costs they should take into account that the interest rate level
is likely to rise in the future, says Nordea's Economist Pasi Sorjonen.
Nordea is now using an interest rate of 6 per cent when making loan calculations
for customers. The interest rates are still on the increase, so with the current
interest rates you should absolutely not take out the maximum housing loan that
you can now afford.
- If you have a fair amount of housing loan proportioned to your income, as
customers who have just bought their first home or built a house typically have,
using interest hedging is quite sensible in such a situation, says Private
Economist Anu Numminen.
Monthly loan
servicing Index Index Index Change
 Home price cost 2/2010 3/2010 4/2010 Q2-Q4
All of Finland 163,891 497 32.0 32.5 32.7 +0.7
Helsinki 274,867 833 45.9 46.5 47.5 +1.6
Espoo 239,002 724 38.3 39.1 39.4 +1.1
Porvoo 170,419 516 32.3 32.9 33.6 +1.3
Vantaa 193,382 586 35.4 35.9 36.5 +1.1
Tampere 166,886 506 32.5 33.0 33.1 +0.6
Hämeenlinna 139,315 422 28.2 29.1 29.4 +1.2
Kuopio 140,851 427 29.8 29.7 29.2 -0.7
Turku 138,317 419 29.0 29.0 28.8 -0.2
Joensuu 132,173 401 28.3 27.4 28.6 +0.3
Mikkeli 122,726 372 27.0 27.7 27.1 +0.1
Lappeenranta 127,181 385 25.5 26.3 26.8 +1.3
Jyväskylä 138,086 418 26.8 27.2 27.8 +1.0
Vaasa 135,839 412 24.6 26.1 27.0 +2.4
Oulu 123,418 374 25.3 25.4 24.8 -0.5
Lahti 124,339 377 25.8 26.8 26.5 +0.7
Seinäjoki 118,502 359 24.8 25.6 25.4 +0.6
Kokkola 124,416 377 24.3 24.5 26.2 +1.9
Kotka 108,365 328 21.4 22.2 22.1 +0.7
Rovaniemi 122,189 370 24.6 24.8 25.4 +0.8
Pori 108,365 328 21.7 21.8 22.7 +1.0
Kajaani 101,760 308 22.0 22.3 21.1 -0.9
In Nordea's index housing loan servicing costs are calculated for a surface area
of 76.8Â square metres, which, according to Statistics Finland, is the average
size of a home in Finland. The loan taken out to purchase a home is 70Â per cent
of the purchase price and the loan period is 25Â years.
The basis for the index is that loan costs, excluding tax deductions, should not
exceed 25Â per cent of a household's gross income. If the index is 100, the
household spends 25Â per cent of its gross income on loan servicing. The smaller
the figure, the better the household's ability to service the housing loan
needed for the exemplary home of the index at present.
For further information:
Anu Numminen, Private Economist, +358 9 165 88218
Pasi Sorjonen, Economist, +358 9 165 59942
Kati Tommiska, Group Identity & Communications, +358 9 165 42320
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Source: Nordea (Finland) via Thomson Reuters ONE
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